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Tame Impala: ARIA AOTY?

Will Tame Impala’s Deadbeat win Album of the Year at the 2026 ARIA Awards?

YES50%NO50%

Eight nominations and an Album of the Year fight. Will Deadbeat claim Australia’s top album honor?

Source · https://www.aria.com.au/awards/nomineesCloses · Nov 16, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

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Choose YES or NO and record your prediction before the result is known.

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Your public callYES

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STEP 2 · OPTIONAL

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Trade summary

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Selected sideYES

Virtual credits to spendC$100

Current price50.00¢

Estimated contracts—

Indicative price per contract50.00¢

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50%Implied probabilityWaiting for the first move

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About the marketResolution rules

YES if

YES if Deadbeat — Tame Impala is named an official winner of Album of the Year at ARIA Music Awards 2026. Officially recognized ties count as YES.

Resolution source: https://www.aria.com.au/awards/nominees

Context

What the market is watching

Human-approved

No context updates yet.Relevant sources and updates will appear here as the story develops.

Context can inform a participant. It never directly moves the market price.

Full rules

Resolution criteria

YES

YES if Deadbeat — Tame Impala is named an official winner of Album of the Year at ARIA Music Awards 2026. Officially recognized ties count as YES.

NO if the official final Album of the Year result names another winner and does not include Deadbeat — Tame Impala. No verifiable award, cancellation or unresolved category requires manual INVALID review, not automatic NO.

Source

https://www.aria.com.au/awards/nominees

Fallback source

https://www.aria.com.au/awards/

Rule version

v4 · UTC

Participation cutoff

Nov 16, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Resolution deadline

Dec 4, 2026, 12:59 PM UTC

Official event schedule

2026-11-18 · Australia/Sydney · 14 calendar days review · 48h administrative buffer

Postponement / unavailable result

When reliable official results are unavailable or disputed, pause and conduct manual review for 14 calendar days after the originally scheduled ceremony local date, with an additional 48-hour administrative buffer. No automatic INVALID, NO, settlement or silent extension. Postponement beyond this window requires a newly approved, versioned rule.

Corrections and disputes

24h after first official results publication, subject to editorial override

How resolution works

The final outcome requires an authorized decision backed by official evidence. Closing participation does not automatically settle this market.