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Girl wins Golden Horse?

Will Girl (女孩) win Best Narrative Feature at the 63rd Golden Horse Awards in 2026?

YES50%NO50%

The Golden Horse field is set. Can Girl convert its nominations into the top film prize?

Source · https://www.goldenhorse.org.tw/news/detail/2505Closes · Nov 20, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Make your public call

Choose YES or NO and record your prediction before the result is known.

Sandbox

Your prediction is public and builds your track record. No credits needed.

Your public callYES

You’re backing YES. Recording your call preserves your first timestamp and the implied sandbox market price, not a verified crowd consensus.

STEP 2 · OPTIONAL

Try a sandbox trade

Practice with virtual credits. It won’t change your public prediction or Signal Score.

YOUR AMOUNT

How much would you use?

Choose virtual credits for this practice trade.

Virtual credits to spend

Virtual credits have no cash value and do not change your public record.

YOUR TRADE AT A GLANCE

Trade summary

Enter an amount

Selected sideYES

Virtual credits to spendC$100

Current price50.00¢

Estimated contracts—

Indicative price per contract50.00¢

No real money. Sandbox trades are separate from your public call.

50%Implied probabilityWaiting for the first move

The chart will build as participants move the market.

About the marketResolution rules

YES if

YES if Girl (女孩) is named an official winner of Best Narrative Feature at 63rd Golden Horse Awards 2026. Officially recognized ties count as YES.

Resolution source: https://www.goldenhorse.org.tw/news/detail/2505

Context

What the market is watching

Human-approved

No context updates yet.Relevant sources and updates will appear here as the story develops.

Context can inform a participant. It never directly moves the market price.

Full rules

Resolution criteria

YES

YES if Girl (女孩) is named an official winner of Best Narrative Feature at 63rd Golden Horse Awards 2026. Officially recognized ties count as YES.

NO if the official final Best Narrative Feature result names another winner and does not include Girl (女孩). No verifiable award, cancellation or unresolved category requires manual INVALID review, not automatic NO.

Source

https://www.goldenhorse.org.tw/news/detail/2505

Fallback source

https://www.goldenhorse.org.tw/

Rule version

v4 · UTC

Participation cutoff

Nov 20, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Resolution deadline

Dec 8, 2026, 3:59 PM UTC

Official event schedule

2026-11-22 · Asia/Taipei · 14 calendar days review · 48h administrative buffer

Postponement / unavailable result

When reliable official results are unavailable or disputed, pause and conduct manual review for 14 calendar days after the originally scheduled ceremony local date, with an additional 48-hour administrative buffer. No automatic INVALID, NO, settlement or silent extension. Postponement beyond this window requires a newly approved, versioned rule.

Corrections and disputes

24h after first official results publication, subject to editorial override

How resolution works

The final outcome requires an authorized decision backed by official evidence. Closing participation does not automatically settle this market.