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Patient Zero #1 · Hot 100 Oct 17

Will Taylor Swift’s “Patient Zero” be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated October 17, 2026?

YES50%NO50%

Second-week leadership market, distinct from the highly one-sided debut market. Hold in PREVIEW until uncertainty is rechecked before opening.

Source · Official Billboard Hot 100 chartCloses · Oct 8, 2026, 11:59 PM EDT

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Your public callYES

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STEP 2 · OPTIONAL

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Trade summary

Participation has closed.

Selected sideYES

Virtual credits to spendC$100

Current price50.00¢

Estimated contracts—

Indicative price per contract50.00¢

Participation currently unavailableCalls and sandbox positions are disabled for this market status.

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50%Implied probabilityWaiting for the first move

The chart will build as participants move the market.

About the marketResolution rules

YES if

YES if “Patient Zero” by Taylor Swift is listed at position #1 on the official Billboard Hot 100 chart dated October 17, 2026.

Resolution source: Official Billboard Hot 100 chart

Context

What the market is watching

Human-approved

No context updates yet.Relevant sources and updates will appear here as the story develops.

Context can inform a participant. It never directly moves the market price.

Full rules

Resolution criteria

YES

YES if “Patient Zero” by Taylor Swift is listed at position #1 on the official Billboard Hot 100 chart dated October 17, 2026.

NO if any other song is listed at position #1 on that official chart. If Billboard does not publish the specified chart by the resolution deadline, escalate for manual INVALID review.

Source

Official Billboard Hot 100 chart

Fallback source

Official Billboard Hot 100 chart archive

Rule version

v3 · America/New_York

Participation cutoff

Oct 8, 2026, 11:59 PM EDT

Resolution deadline

Oct 15, 2026, 7:59 PM EDT

How resolution works

The final outcome requires an authorized decision backed by official evidence. Closing participation does not automatically settle this market.